Alabama Senate Unanimously Passes Bill To Exempt Gold And Silver From Taxation: Constitutional Money

MONTGOMERY, Ala. (Feb. 8, 2018) –  Earlier today, the Alabama Senate unanimously passed a bill that would exempt the sale of gold and silver bullion from state sales and use tax, encouraging its use and taking the first step toward breaking the Federal Reserve’s monopoly on money.

Sen. Tim Melson (R-Florence) introduced Senate Bill 156 (SB156) on Jan. 11. The legislation would exempt the gross proceeds from the sale of gold, silver, platinum, and palladium bullion in the form of bars, ingots or coins from sales and use tax in the state for five years after the date of enactment.

The Senate passed SB156 by a 26-0 vote.

similar bill is moving through the Alabama House.

Imagine if you asked a grocery clerk to break a $5 bill and he charged you a 35 cent tax. Silly, right? After all, you were only exchanging one form of money for another. But that’s essentially what Alabama’s sales tax on gold and silver bullion does. By removing the sales tax on the exchange of gold and silver, Alabama would treat specie as money instead of a commodity. This represents a small step toward reestablishing gold and silver as legal tender and breaking down the Fed’s monopoly on money.

We ought not to tax money – and that’s a good idea. It makes no sense to tax money,” former U.S. Rep. Ron Paul said during testimony in support an Arizona bill that repealed capital gains taxes on gold and silver in that state. “Paper is not money, it’s fraud,” he continued.

The proposed law’s impact would go beyond mere tax policy. During an event after his Senate committee testimony, Paul pointed out that it’s really about the size and scope of government.

“If you’re for less government, you want sound money. The people who want big government, they don’t want sound money. They want to deceive you and commit fraud. They want to print the money. They want a monopoly. They want to get you conditioned, as our schools have conditioned us, to the point where deficits don’t matter.”

Practically speaking, eliminating taxes on the sale of gold and silver would crack open the door for people to begin using specie in regular business transactions.This would mark an important small step toward currency competition. If sound money gains a foothold in the marketplace against Federal Reserve notes, the people would be able to choose the time-tested stability of gold and silver over the central bank’s rapidly-depreciating paper currency.

BACKGROUND INFORMATION

The United States Constitution states in Article I, Section 10, “No State shall…make any Thing but gold and silver Coin a Tender in Payment of Debts.” States have simply ignored this constitutional provision for years. It’s impossible for a state to return to a constitutional sound money system when it taxes gold and silver as a commodity.

This Alabama bill takes a step towards that constitutional requirement, ignored for decades in every state. Such a tactic would set the stage to undermine the monopoly of the Federal Reserve by introducing competition into the monetary system.

Constitutional tender expert Professor William Greene said when people in multiple states actually start using gold and silver instead of Federal Reserve Notes, it would effectively nullify the Federal Reserve and end the federal government’s monopoly on money.

“Over time, as residents of the state use both Federal Reserve notes and silver and gold coins, the fact that the coins hold their value more than Federal Reserve notes do will lead to a “reverse Gresham’s Law” effect, where good money (gold and silver coins) will drive out bad money (Federal Reserve notes). As this happens, a cascade of events can begin to occur, including the flow of real wealth toward the state’s treasury, an influx of banking business from outside of the state – as people in other states carry out their desire to bank with sound money – and an eventual outcry against the use of Federal Reserve notes for any transactions.”

Once things get to that point, Federal Reserve notes would become largely unwanted and irrelevant for ordinary people. Nullifying the Fed on a state by state level is what will get us there.

WHAT’S NEXT

SB156 will move to the House for further consideration.

Tenth Amendment Center

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Source Article from https://politicalvelcraft.org/2018/02/11/alabama-senate-unanimously-passes-bill-to-exempt-gold-and-silver-from-taxation-constitutional-money/

Thirty-Six States Have Nullified Sales Taxes From Silver & Gold: Alabama & Tennessee Preparing To Nullify Taxes In 2018

In 2017, Arizona, Louisiana, Virginia, Texas, and North Carolina, and even Minnesota made progress on the sound money front. In 2018, other states could do so as well.

Thirty-six states have already removed sales taxes from precious metals transactions, and bills being introduced this year by sound money advocates in Alabama and Tennessee could add to that list.

Both Utah and Oklahoma have already passed legal tender laws recognizing gold and silver as money. The monetary metals can be used freely as a means of payment.

Meanwhile, a new Wyoming bill next month would repeal both sales and income taxes on bullion while affirming gold and silver as legal tender and strengthening gold clause contracts.

Other states, including Arizona and Idaho, have moved forward on legislation to exempt gold and silver bullion from capital gains taxes.

Last year, a bill to eliminate capital gains taxes on precious metals passed the Idaho House. Money Metals Exchange President Stefan Gleason testified before the House Committee on Revenue and Taxation, and here is some of what he had to say

Stefan Gleason: Our mission is to educate people also about precious metals and help them diversify into this reliable and more stable form of money, really truly a Constitutional money with tremendous history going back to the founding of our country. Gold and silver have been chosen for thousands of years as money because of their qualities as financial insurance, as a store of value, and its practicality as a medium of exchange. The bill I want to talk about today is a straightforward bill. Basically, we don’t want to tax money in Idaho. Idaho already does not tax precious metals with its sales tax, and we’re asking for it to be removed from the calculation of income tax in Idaho.

The Founders of our nation dealt with the collapse of the un-backed continental dollar, and that was fresh in their minds when they created our monetary system and established gold and silver as our nation’s money. In fact, the dollar was defined as a fixed amount of silver, and even in the Constitution the Founders restricted states from making payment in anything other than gold and silver coins for payment of debt. For the first hundred years, our nation’s money gold and silver coinage maintained its purchasing power pretty much consistently, except for a small period of time during the Civil War when we went off the gold standard.

But then about 100 years ago the Federal Reserve was created, and since that time we’ve seen a dramatic decline in the purchasing power of what is now considered the dollar but really is called the Federal Reserve Note. Of course, the last link to gold was severed officially in 1971, and that has led to an acceleration of this devaluation in purchasing power and an explosion in federal government debt during that same period of time.

The people that are most harmed by inflation are wage earners and savers. When the dollar goes down in purchasing power, they lose. Fortunately, an increasing number of citizens are recognizing that owning gold and silver as an alternative form of savings is a good way of protecting some of their wealth, protecting some of their purchasing power, and standing against this ongoing devaluation. It’s also something that helps in periods of financial turmoil, which seem to be increasing under our current system. Gold and silver are a safe haven.

Under current law, however, when a taxpayer sells their precious metals, they may end up with a capital gain because it’s measured against the Federal Reserve Notes that they sell it for. Now it may not be a real gain. In most cases, it’s not a real gain. It’s a nominal gain. It’s an illusory gain. Yet it’s still something that triggers taxation at the federal level, and a taxpayer has to include that in their taxable income if they sold gold and silver bullion or coins.

It’s even taxed at a discriminatorily high 28% rate for long-term capital gains… It’s 15 and 20 for other types of assets. Then Idaho in the calculation of Idaho taxable income essentially carries forward that income number, and then there’s some adjustments that are made on various things according to Idaho statutes to arrive at the Idaho taxable income.

This legislation simply would back out the federal income or loss that somebody reports on precious metals out of their Idaho taxable income. This is something that Idaho can do. Obviously, we can’t mess with federal tax laws, but Idaho decides what it’s taxing as income, and we propose with this legislation that precious metals be removed, because it’s money.

Also weighing in on behalf of Idaho’s bill to free precious metals from state taxation was an executive of a freedom-minded group in the Gem State.

Fred Birnbaum: My name is Fred Birnbaum, with the Idaho Freedom Foundation and I’m here to speak in support of this bill. I’ll be very brief. I think Mr. Gleason covered just about everything. But I’ll make a parallel point. Recently, actually this week, there was a lot of debate about a constitutional amendment, article five convention. I’m not going to re-open that debate. But I think it’s relevant, to some extent, to this bill. I certainly don’t want to overplay that point. What came up and one of the central issues was the unbalanced federal budget, if you will.

And the fact that we’ve accumulated about 20 trillion of federal debt and I think sometimes it’s hard to think of the inflation that we currently have as inflation. It certainly varies. It hasn’t been very significant, say in gasoline. It is in property. But the potential for inflation is huge because the Federal Reserve has now issued about 4 trillion dollars of digital money into the economy. It’s pushed it since the recession. So, I think what this bill does, in many ways, is it’s a prospective measure in that those folks who either own gold or silver now or may in the future, if we do have a real bout of inflation, this will protect them from that.

One of the challenges in getting this and similar bills passed is educating legislators on why gold and silver, being constitutional money, are different from other asset classes. Some politicians just don’t grasp the fundamental distinction.

Committee Chair: Questions for Mr. Gleason? Representative Gannon?

Rep. Gannon: Thank you Mr. Chairman. Sir, one question I always have asked of me is, if we pass a bill like this, is, well are we picking winners and losers? What about if I invest in a gold stock and I make money on my gold stock or what about oil companies? If we open up the door to one particular kind of investment for a tax break like this, how do I explain to constituents that their particular investments don’t get the same kind of tax break?

Committee Chair: Mr. Gleason?

Mr. Gleason: Okay. Mr. Chairman. Representative Gannon. It’s a good question. The key distinguishing characteristic here is that gold and silver are money. They’re not a stock, they’re not a piece of property and when it comes to mining stocks and things like that, obviously that’s not covered here.

We’re talking about taking away taxation on the exchange of one form of money with another. So, people are not unfortunately able to deduct the loss that they take when they have Federal Reserve Notes and they dramatically decline in their value. There is no deduction for that. The deduction is basically everyone is paying the inflation tax and they are not able to recoup that or protect themselves against that, so gold and silver is another alternative form of money. It’s actually much more stable and a historic form of money, and so that’s how I distinguish this. This is about sound money and preserving people’s savings and not giving any kind of special break for an investment class.

Fortunately, there are politicians who understand that not taxing money in any form is a matter of consistency. Idaho State Representative Ron Nate made a strong case for treating gold and silver the same as the Federal Reserve Note when it comes to taxation.

Rep. Nate: Thank you Mr. Chairman.

 (I’m) in favor of the motion, this isn’t just an investment. This is a money. And so, Federal Reserve Notes are the nationally recognized money, but according to Article I, Section X of the Constitution, the only thing that the states can declare as money, we can’t coin our own money, the only thing we can use as money is we can declare silver and gold as money.

 So, it’s the only real state money that we have control of. And if holding money becomes something that is subject to taxation, then we have – I think – a perverse incentive in our government here, that the money that they declare, that the government declares is legal tender suddenly becomes a tax instrument for them as well.

 This makes sense for consistency. If gold and silver coin are money, then we should not tax it when it increases in value. If you argue that we should tax it when it increases in value, then you should also argue that Federal Reserve Notes, when they diminish in value because of inflation, we ought to be able to declare capital losses on those on our tax forms as well.

 But because we don’t allow that, we shouldn’t be taxing either capital gains or losses on gold and silver coin. This is a matter of consistency with regards to currency and the tax treatment of it. Thank you.

Last year, the Arizona Senate Finance Committee heard testimony from none other than former Congressman Ron Paul. Dr. Paul was the leading voice in the U.S. Congress for sound money issues during his tenure there. He turned the once obscure idea of auditing, reforming, and ultimately ending the Federal Reserve into a national campaign issue when he ran for President in 2008 and 2012.

Ron Paul said the following in support of Arizona’s ultimately successful bill to eliminate income taxes on gold and silver:

Dr. Ron Paul: It would be legalizing competition in a constitutional fashion. It isn’t like saying, “Okay, Arizona wants to print their paper currency again.” Because you’re not allowed to do that. On the monetary issues, the states are talked about in the constitution and they have restrictions, they can’t print money but they also have been told in The Constitution that they can only use gold and silver as legal tender. So, the responsibility is one the states to follow the rules and that meant nobody was supposed to use anything other than silver and gold as legal tender. We’ve had a mess, it’s gotten worse, it started in 1913, there was a climactic end in 1971 but the problems have continued.

 If you look at some of the charts, things have been really rocky since ‘71, with the destruction of the value of the money. Since 1971, we’ve lost 95% of the value of the dollar. Believe me, the Gold Standard was invented a long, long time ago, from the beginning of recorded history. Five thousand years ago they used gold and silver, biblically gold and silver, real weights and measures, that’s what they count it by. So, this is not brand new, it’s the governments and the people who seek power are always undermining the restraints placed on governments by honest money. So, I congratulate you for hearing and dealing with this bill, because I think if you do pass this bill it will be a great step forward for a lot of people to understand the money issue and the freedom issue. Thank you very much.

 Chairman: Thank you very much Dr. Paul.

Similar sound money efforts are springing up in other states. Of course, states won’t be able to abolish the discriminatory federal taxation of precious metals. But state level reforms will catch the attention of members of the U.S. Congress. Sound money victories at the state level will help build political momentum for sound money legislation at the federal level.

Groups such as the Sound Money Defense League are advancing the sound money movement by educating the public on the problems of our inflationary monetary system as well as working with allies in elective office to enact reforms.

Setting gold and silver free as competing currencies to Federal Reserve Notes won’t be easy and it won’t happen overnight, but real progress can be made and is being made one step at a time.

Tenth Amendment Center

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Source Article from https://politicalvelcraft.org/2018/01/30/thirty-six-states-have-nullified-sales-taxes-from-silver-gold-alabama-tennessee-preparing-to-nullify-taxes-in-2018/

Alabama declares flu outbreak emergency as vaccine failure becomes obvious to everyone

Image: Alabama declares flu outbreak emergency as vaccine failure becomes obvious to everyone

(Natural News)
A State Public Health Emergency has been issued in Alabama by Governor Kay Ivey as a flu outbreak grips the state. Schools are closing and hospitals are filling up as the flu vaccine proves to be a spectacular failure yet again this year.

Hospital emergency rooms and outpatient clinics are reporting a very high volume of patients. Children’s of Alabama has issued a diversion protocol as they’ve run out of beds, instead requesting that patients are diverted to a different pediatric hospital. In addition, they’ve announced that they may transfer some of their patients to other hospitals to provide everyone with the best care possible.

UAB Hospital, meanwhile, is rescheduling elective, non-emergency surgeries because it is over capacity with flu patients.

In 20 of the state’s 67 counties, hospitals have less than 10 percent capacity available, with many having patients sitting in ERs waiting for a bed to become available.

The problem was so bad at the Briarwood Christian School that it had to close because of the sheer number of teachers and students out with flu. They’ve also rescheduled home sports events that were planned for the weekend.

Huntsville’s Randolph School also had to close several campuses because of the flu outbreak. Authorities point out that people are generally considered infectious for five to seven days, so they should avoid going back to work or school even after they start to get better.

Experts in the state are warning residents to stay home if they have a fever and to cover coughs and sneezes. They are also being asked not to visit family and friends who are in the hospital, and they are reminded to wash their hands frequently and to clean and disinfect.

It’s not just Alabama experiencing this problem, by the way. The flu has now officially become an epidemic across the nation, according to the Centers for Disease Control, with every state save Hawaii noting widespread flu illness.

Aren’t flu vaccines supposed to prevent flu outbreaks?

All of this begs the question: If the flu vaccine is so effective that nearly everyone is strongly encouraged to get it, how has this situation gotten so out of hand?

The answer is simple: The flu vaccine is ineffective. This is something that science has proven time and time again. To cite just one example, a study from The Scripps Research Institute found that the way in which vaccines like the flu shot are mass-produced actually causes them to mutate, which renders them completely useless.

The flu shot simply not working and you coming down with the flu in spite of it isn’t the worst thing that can happen if you get one. Flu shots contain brain-damaging mercury, and this is behind the rise in spontaneous abortions among pregnant women who get the jab.

As if that weren’t bad enough, the flu shot actually weakens your immunity to the flu in the future, as a study from the Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center recently proved. The researchers in that study found that women who got a flu shot the year before had lower antibody response in subsequent years. This is why more and more people are actually getting the flu, and it creates a vicious cycle wherein Big Pharma uses the resulting flu outbreaks as a reason to try to scare even more people into getting the flu vaccine.

Thankfully, there is a lot more you can do to avoid getting the flu beyond simply washing your hands and hoping for the best. For example. zinc, vitamin C and vitamin D can all help to boost your natural immunity to flu without any of the nasty side effects that come with injecting mercury into your body. Stay informed about the risks and failures of vaccines at Vaccines.news.

Sources include:

AL.com

WAFF.com

NaturalNews.com

NaturalNews.com

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Source Article from http://www.naturalnews.com/2018-01-16-alabama-declare-flu-outbreak-emergency-as-vaccine-failure-becomes-obvious-to-everyone.html

Will It Be an Epidemic or a Pandemic? Alabama Declares a Health Emergency

Alabama became the first state to declare a health emergency. IS this declaration giong to be considered an epidemic, or a pandemic?

 

 

 

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Alabama officials dismiss Moore claims of voter fraud; Jones certified as winner

Alabama’s secretary of state laughed off the assertion by Roy Moore campaign spokeswoman Janet Porter that there is an incredibly high probability there was voter fraud in the state’s special U.S. Senate election this month.

“People are entitled to their own opinion, but they are not entitled to their own facts,” Alabama Secretary of State John Merrill said on CNN.

Merrill was responding to Porter’s comments in an earlier CNN interview in which she defended the Republican candidate’s 11th-hour attempt to block certification of Moore’s historic loss to Democrat Doug Jones in the traditionally deep-red state.

“Whether you’re a Republican or whether you’re a Democrat; whether you like Roy Moore or whether you like Doug Jones, you ought to care about the fact that the people of Alabama should be making that choice,” Porter said. “The chances that this was not fraud? One in 15 billion.”

Merrill said that his office has investigated each claim of voter fraud submitted by the Moore campaign and found no evidence any fraud occurred.

In one complaint, it was alleged that five busloads of African-Americans had been brought in from Mississippi to vote in Mobile, and that three vanloads of Mexicans had been arrested and incarcerated for doing so. Both allegations were investigated and dismissed, Merrill said. Another claim said that more than 5,000 people had voted in Brodalama, a town with a population of 2,200.

“That would make some sense and cause a lot of consternation — except there is no town or community in Alabama called Bordalama,” Merrill explained. “So that was completely fabricated.”

His remarks came shortly before an Alabama judge denied Moore’s lawsuit to block the state from certifying the results of the Dec. 12 special election, which Jones won by more than 20,000 votes. A four-member panel, including Merrill, certified those results Thursday afternoon. Jones will be sworn in by Vice President Mike Pence on Jan. 3.

“As I said on election night, our victory marks a new chapter for our state and the nation,” Jones said in a statement.

The Jones campaign called the Moore campaign’s lawsuit a “desperate attempt by Roy Moore to subvert the will of the people.”

“The election is over,” Jones campaign spokesman Sam Coleman said in a statement. “It’s time to move on.”

Yet Moore again refused to concede the election.

“Election fraud experts across the country have agreed that this was a fraudulent election,” Moore said in a statement after the results were certified. “I have stood for the truth about God and the Constitution for the people of Alabama. I have no regrets. To God be the glory.”

In a wide-ranging complaint filed late Wednesday night, the Moore campaign cited three “election integrity experts” who say voter fraud occurred. One of them, Richard Charnin, argued in a recent book that President Trump won the “true” vote in the 2016 presidential election (Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by nearly 3 million votes) and that “historical statistical evidence is conclusive: every election is fraudulent.” In another, Charnin argues that there is scientific proof of a conspiracy surrounding President John. F. Kennedy’s assassination.

“I don’t vouch for everyone’s opinion on everything,” Porter said when asked about the theories offered in Charnin’s books.

Porter also defended Moore’s inclusion of an affidavit in the lawsuit saying he had passed polygraph test that purportedly disproves the allegations of sexual misconduct by multiple women against him. But when pressed for details about the test or the person who conducted it, Porter struggled to provide any. The affidavit was from Moore, not the unnamed polygraph expert.

“All I know is that it was a renowned independent expert,” Porter said.

Read more from Yahoo News:

Source Article from https://www.yahoo.com/news/alabama-officials-dismiss-moore-claims-voter-fraud-jones-certified-winner-194754558.html

‘Police did this to my son:’ 17yo bruised, bloodied after ‘beating’ by Alabama officers (PHOTO)

The parents of Ulysses Wilkerson are desperately seeking answers as to why their son ended up with a face swollen beyond recognition after an encounter with police in Troy, Pike County. According to Ulysses’ mother, Angela Williams, during the dramatic incident which unfolded on Saturday night, law enforcement officers beat her son so brutally he now has a fracture. “Troy police officers did this to my son while he was in handcuffs,” she wrote in a Facebook post, which has since been widely shared.

“He had trauma to the brain, swelling on the brain, and a cracked eye socket in three different places,” Ulysses’ father, Ulysses Wilkerson Jr., told WKRG. “They had him handcuffed when we got in there they said he was charged with obstruction of justice, the ambulance came to take him to UAB [and] they took the handcuffs off and dropped the charges on him,” he added.

Police officers reportedly saw the teen coming around the corner of a building in downtown Troy. When they tried to speak to him, he ran off, prompting a foot chase. A witness cited by local media claimed  police had later surrounded Wilkerson. “You could see the swelling of his face [and] you could tell he had a lot of bleeding. He looked like he was passed out or maybe in and out of consciousness,” Brittany Patterson, who drove by the scene, said.

The Alabama State Bureau of Investigation (SBI) said police arrested Wilkerson in the area of Madison Street around midnight.

“During the arrest, the juvenile was injured, and was transported directly to Troy Regional Medical Center,” the SBI said in a statement, adding that an investigation is underway into “the use of force” by the officers.

While the teen’s mother is urging police to release body and dash camera footage of the incident, social media activists say law enforcement officials in Troy need to issue a public announcement.

“You need to acknowledge the problem… to insure your citizens you swore to protect are protected from abusive police officers,” one woman, Carley Kimberling, wrote on the Troy Police Department Facebook page.

“Disgusted in your senseless, racist, wicked police officer who beat this young man while in handcuffs. How can you defend police brutality while a suspect is already in cuffs? What is the point of the handcuffs? Very disgusting!” another person, Ray Ben, added.

“Handcuffed? Kicked in the face? I realize it takes a while to concoct a reason to make up a cockeyed story justifying what you did that boy. Unfortunately, you all will never have a good night’s sleep,” Carol Walden wrote.

Lt. Heath Carpenter told BuzzFeed that the investigation is still “open and active,” but couldn’t confirm whether the police department had placed any officers involved on leave.

Source Article from https://www.rt.com/usa/414443-police-teen-bruised-bloodied/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

After Alabama, Pollsters See Reasons To Expect A Democratic Surge

Even before Democrats’ victory in last week’s Alabama Senate election, there were signs that Republicans may be in trouble in the year ahead. Democrats overperformed in dozens of other special elections this year. Their generic ballot numbers are remarkably strong. And while it’s early in the election cycle, some pollinggives the party a distinct advantage in enthusiasm ahead of next year’s congressional midterms.

Democrat Doug Jones’ win in Alabama, the culmination of an atypical race, was just the latest evidence of the potential for a blue wave of voters to show up in 2018, pollsters say. And it’s already affecting how they’re trying to figure out who will turn out next November.

“What fascinated me is, as bizarre as this was, the things that we made assumptions about based on [the outcomes] in Virginia and Georgia and South Carolina did play out in Alabama in the same way,” Patrick Murray, Monmouth University’s polling director, told HuffPost. “I think we’re seeing a pattern form.”

Normally, Murray said he’d set a high bar when trying to determine who’s likely to vote in a midterm election, screening out most people who don’t have a history of voting regularly. But next year, that may not be the right approach.

“We are getting voters who are either new voters or have only voted in presidential elections who are coming out in these special elections or midterms,” Murray said. “That changes the model significantly.”

Others in the field are drawing similar conclusions. Jones won in part by turning out “people who have never come out in a midterm or special election,” John Anzalone, a Democratic pollster based in Alabama, told CNN, describing those voters as “disproportionately our people.” Democrats, noted Chris Jackson of the polling firm Ipsos, voted last week as if the Alabama Senate race was a presidential election. Republicans voted as though it were a midterm. That fact will be among the data Ipsos will take into consideration next year.

SurveyMonkey’s polls in Alabama, as well as earlier gubernatorial races in New Jersey and Virginia, “provided advance warning that voter turnout would benefit the Democrats more than usual,” according to a blog post by Mark Blumenthal, the online firm’s head of election polling and a former HuffPost editor.

“This pattern is unusual, since Republican voters are more likely to be older and white, subgroups that typically turn out a higher levels and report greater intent to vote,” Blumenthal wrote. “Not so in 2017.”

Figuring out who’ll actually turn out to vote is a perennial challenge for pollsters. That was especially true in Alabama’s election last week, where the uncertainty led several public pollsters to take the somewhat-unusual step of issuing multiple models of how the race might end, depending on turnout and other factors. Now, those pollsters are going back through their data to shed light on the best ways of identifying likely voters in next year’s election.

Monmouth, for instance, released three turnout models of the race: a 4-point lead for Republican Roy Moore when using a “historical midterm model, akin to Alabama’s 2014 turnout,” a dead heat using a model with “relatively higher turnout in Democratic strongholds,” and a 3-point edge for Democrat Doug Jones when using a “model with higher overall turnout, where voter demographics look more like the 2016 election.” Jones’ 1.5-point margin of victory fell squarely between the latter two.

SurveyMonkey offered 10 outlooks on the race, based on different turnout assumptions and weighting methods. Narrowing the race to voters who said they’d shown up for the 2014 midterms (or were age 18 to 20 and said they were certain to vote), and weighting the results to match the outcome of last year’s presidential race gave Moore a 10-point advantage. Using voters’ assessments that they would probably or certainly show up and forgoing that weighting shifted the results to a 9-point lead for Jones.

Relying on respondents’ self-reported data about their likelihood to vote and looking at their behavior in the past each carry potential pitfalls. People aren’t always good at predicting whether they’ll vote, and questions designed act as proxies can backfire. In the run-up to 2012, for instance, questions geared to make sure voters were paying attention to the presidential race ended up screening out some voters who’d long ago decided they would support Barack Obama for re-election. Screening out those who’ve rarely or never voted in past years, of course, risks missing the infrequent voters who may be swept along to the ballot box as part of a wave.

SurveyMonkey found that its models based on self-reported voter intent proved more successful this year than self-reported past turnout in providing advance warning that Democratic voters would turn out at higher rates than Republicans.

That, Blumenthal wrote, “provides an important lesson for 2018.” But he cautioned that it won’t necessarily be the case for every election. Other takeaways ― such as whether it’s useful to weight results by who respondents voted for in 2016, along with more standard demographic weighting ― may also prove case-specific.

“From a polling methods perspective, [Alabama] was very much an outlier,” Blumenthal said. “The unusual uncertainty inherent in polling this particular election was definitely a factor in our decision to release 10 different estimates including eight distinct likely voter scenarios.”

Expect to see more of those scenarios next year. Pollsters who’ve offered multiple models hope they’ll provide a peek behind the curtain of how polls work, and a better sense of what to expect on Election Night. A 2016 post-mortem released by polling industry experts stressed the need to emphasize that uncertainty in horserace polling that can carry far beyond a survey’s margin of error.

“There’s people who just want to know what’s going to happen, and for them we produce our best-faith estimate,” Jackson said. “But for more general information, having these ranges captures that uncertainty better. It’s a little truer to the uncertainty seen in the data.”

  • This article originally appeared on HuffPost.

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Source Article from https://www.yahoo.com/news/alabama-pollsters-see-reasons-expect-185840848.html

Dr Duke Exposes the Jewish Origin of Yellow Journalism & How it affected the Alabama Senate Race!

Dr Duke Says Vote for Moore & Your Children’s Future! Expose the Hypocrisy of the J News & Entertainment Media!

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Today Dr. Duke talked about “yellow journalism,” a form of sensationalized journalism aimed at promoting acceptance of a political agenda that was originated by the Jewish publisher Joseph Pulitzer. The attacks on Roy Moore by Jewish-backed accusers whose main evidence was an admittedly forged signature in a high school year book were sensationalized to the extent that a liberal Democrat won a state-wide race in one of the most Republican states in the union.

Dr. Slattery joined the show and recalled that when the Harvey Weinstein story first broke, the Jewish-run Tablet Magazine published an article describing Weinstein’s actions as not be motivated by “horniness” the way Bill Clinton’s were, but rather were an example of Jewish revenge against the goyim. Thus, Dr. Slattery argued that the fire that Weinstein started shouldn’t spread to Roy Moore or even Al Franken, but rather should spread to other examples of Jewish attacks against white people, like those found in the advertising industry, the local news media, and Jewish academia.

This show was another powerful show filled with information. Please share this show widely. And the David Duke show has done more to make it possible for us to even say “Merry Christmas” than any other show. So please keep us on the air and on-line. Please visit our contribution page or send your contribution to:

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Click here and look for the show dated 12-13-17.

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Below is a Duke Video that exposes the impact of Jews such as Weinstein on the mores and values of the West.

Here is Mark Collett’s latest video (Currently banned for violating YouTube rules on frankly discussing obvious events going on before our very eyes):

Or find the alternative location from Mark’s Twitter feed. And follow him while you’re at it.

Source Article from https://davidduke.com/dr-duke-exposes-the-jewish-origin-of-yellow-journalism-how-it-affected-the-alabama-senate-race/

In final-hour order, court rules that Alabama can destroy digital voting records after all

Alabama is allowed to destroy digital voting records created at the polls during today’s U.S. Senate election after all.

At 1:36 p.m. Monday, a Montgomery County Circuit Court judge issued an order directing Alabama election officials to preserve all digital ballot images created at polling places across the state today.

But at 4:32 p.m. Monday, attorneys for Alabama Secretary of State John Merrill and Ed Packard, the state administrator of elections, filed an “emergency motion to stay” that order, which the state Supreme Court granted minutes after Merrill and Packard’s motion was filed.

By granting the stay, the court effectively told the state that it does not in fact have to preserve the digital ballot images – essentially digitized versions of the paper ballots voters fill out at the voting booth – created today.

The court will hold a hearing on Dec. 21 about whether to dismiss the case outright. By that point the state will have had ample time to destroy the digital ballot images legally under the stay.

Merrill and Packard’s attorneys argued in the emergency motion Monday that the two officials “do not have authority to maintain such records or to require local officials to do so. Plaintiffs therefore lack standing, the Circuit Court lacks jurisdiction, and the order is a nullity. Although a nullity, it will, if not stayed, cause confusion among elections officials and be disruptive to an election scheduled for tomorrow.”


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Source Article from http://govtslaves.info/2017/12/in-final-hour-order-court-rules-that-alabama-can-destroy-digital-voting-records-after-all/

Ex-NYT Editor Swoons: ‘It’s a Historic Night in Alabama’ Putting State on the ‘Right Road’

MSNBC’s The 11th Hour with Brian Williams
December 12, 2017
11:35 p.m. Eastern

HOWELL RAINES: It’s a historic night in Alabama, I think. 

WILLIAMS: Well, talk about it. What just happened to your home state? 

RAINES: Well, I think Doug Jones used the metaphor of the crossroads. I think that’s right and for the first time in 175 years, we took the indisputably right road. Whether that is permanent or not, but we can say two things with certainty. Alabama, for the moment, has thrown off the dead hand of George Wallace and we’ve crossed a demographic divide in which the modern urban educated, upwardly mobile population of Alabama has coalesced and for the first time brought Alabama to a place that Atlanta and Georgia, for example, passed in 1970. 

WILLIAMS:  So you think there — you think what happened tonight, this is important, is for keeps, and put another way, there’s no going back demographically? 

RAINES: No, I’m not — I know Alabama too well to be that optimistic, Brian. Demographically, yes, there is no going back. And I think our feet are on the road that will take us in a different direction. But I think there could be significant bumps in the road and you saw tonight from the churlish response of Judge Moore and for the President’s comment, trying to cheapen the victory of Doug Jones by talking about write-ins. This is still a volatile, shifting environment that we’re — that we’re experiencing here, but that doesn’t take away from the fact that this is a night like no other for Alabama and I don’t want to bore people with history, but in 1844, Alabama elected to Congress a man named William Lowndes Yancey who led Alabama and the nation in the Civil War and since then, we’ve had a terrifically harmful habit of electing people who are viewed as pariahs by the rest of the American political family and tonight was the most radical departure from that pattern in my lifetime and I think something else that bears talking about is what I think is an historic step taken by Senator Shelby, when he refused to vote for Doug — for Judge Moore. 

Source Article from https://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/nb/curtis-houck/2017/12/13/ex-nyt-editor-swoons-its-historic-night-alabama-putting-state-right